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Class D6 bubble watch: Four teams are tied at 39.714 for the last spot
The four-way tie for the 16th Class D6 spot, the Crawford-Hay Springs game and who's out with a loss.

Class D6 has a four-way tie on the line. Grand Island Lutheran, High Plains Community, Mead and Sterling are all 4-3 with 39.714 points, and if the season ended today, only one of them would get the 16th spot. D6 has no district berths. The 16 highest point averages make it, and D6 teams play eight regular-season games, not nine.
Data as of 7:59 a.m. CT Wednesday, Oct. 21, from NSAA's wildcard page. Points haven't changed since the Oct. 19 update. Ranges below run every Week 9 result through NSAA's point formula. They're NEB Preps projections, not official. The order inside the tie is NSAA's listing order, not a tiebreaker result.
Class D6 bubble board
NSAA points · 7:59 a.m. CT Wednesday, Oct. 21 (NSAA wildcard page; points unchanged since the Oct. 19 9:04 a.m. update). Projection—not official seeds.
Current last at-large average: 39.714 · Grand Island Lutheran. Dashed marks compare current averages, not guaranteed qualification. District berths and tiebreakers still apply.
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Open a school for its remaining game and reviewed scenario. Each what-if fixes only one game; all other results can vary. Ranges are not rankings or clinch probabilities. Ties remain ties.
Arthur County5-2 · Bubble42.571 ptsClinches with a win over Paxton.
2026-10-22 · at Paxton (2-5). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 41.625–42.375. With a loss: 40.250–41.000.
Southwest4-3 · Bubble41.857 ptsClinches with a win over Sumner-Eddyville-Miller.
2026-10-22 · vs. Sumner-Eddyville-Miller (3-4). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 40.625–42.125. With a loss: 38.875–40.375.
Meridian4-3 · Bubble40.571 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 39.5000-40.2500 with a win.
2026-10-23 · at Pawnee City (1-6). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 39.500–40.250. With a loss: 37.750–38.500.
Crawford5-2 · Bubble40.429 ptsClinches with a win over Hay Springs.
2026-10-22 · vs. Hay Springs (4-3). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 40.875–40.875. With a loss: 39.500–39.500.
Hay Springs4-3 · Bubble40.143 ptsClinches with a win if Humboldt-Table Rock-Steinauer beats Diller-Odell or Dorchester beats Mead.
2026-10-22 · at Crawford (5-2). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 40.250–41.000. With a loss: 38.500–39.250.
Grand Island Lutheran4-3 · Bubble39.714 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 39.5000-40.2500 with a win.
2026-10-22 · vs. Red Cloud (6-1). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 39.500–40.250. With a loss: 38.125–38.875.
High Plains Community4-3 · Bubble39.714 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 38.7500-39.5000 with a win. Out with a loss if Santee beats Elba or Silver Lake beats Giltner.
2026-10-23 · vs. Harvard (2-5). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 38.750–39.500. With a loss: 37.375–38.125.
Mead4-3 · Bubble39.714 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 39.1250-40.2500 with a win.
2026-10-23 · vs. Dorchester (3-4). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 39.125–40.250. With a loss: 37.375–38.500.
Sterling4-3 · Bubble39.714 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 39.5000-40.6250 with a win.
2026-10-23 · at Lewiston (6-1). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 39.500–40.625. With a loss: 38.125–39.250.
Silver Lake3-4 · Bubble39.000 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 37.7500-38.5000 with a win. Out with a loss to Giltner.
2026-10-23 · vs. Giltner (2-5). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 37.750–38.500. With a loss: 36.375–37.125.
Sumner-Eddyville-Miller3-4 · Bubble39.000 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 38.1250-39.6250 with a win. Out with a loss if Stuart beats Ansley-Litchfield or Arthur County beats Paxton.
2026-10-22 · at Southwest (4-3). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 38.125–39.625. With a loss: 36.750–38.250.
Potter-Dix3-4 · Bubble38.571 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 38.1250-38.8750 with a win. Out with a loss to Banner County.
2026-10-23 · vs. Banner County (1-6). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 38.125–38.875. With a loss: 36.375–37.125.
Parkview Christian4-3 · Bubble38.000 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 38.3750-39.5000 with a win. Out with a loss to McCool Junction.
2026-10-22 · at McCool Junction (7-0). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 38.375–39.500. With a loss: 36.625–37.750.
Cody-Kilgore3-4 · Bubble37.714 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 37.7500-38.1250 with a win. Out with a loss to Sioux County.
2026-10-23 · vs. Sioux County (0-7). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 37.750–38.125. With a loss: 36.000–36.375.
View the three-column points table
| Team | Record | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur County | 5-2 | 42.571 |
| Southwest | 4-3 | 41.857 |
| Meridian | 4-3 | 40.571 |
| Crawford | 5-2 | 40.429 |
| Hay Springs | 4-3 | 40.143 |
| Grand Island Lutheran | 4-3 | 39.714 |
| High Plains Community | 4-3 | 39.714 |
| Mead | 4-3 | 39.714 |
| Sterling | 4-3 | 39.714 |
| Silver Lake | 3-4 | 39.000 |
| Sumner-Eddyville-Miller | 3-4 | 39.000 |
| Potter-Dix | 3-4 | 38.571 |
| Parkview Christian | 4-3 | 38.000 |
| Cody-Kilgore | 3-4 | 37.714 |
Win and you're in
Arthur County (5-2, 42.571) clinches with a win at Paxton on Thursday. It also clinches if Southwest, Sterling, McCool Junction, Wallace or Humboldt-Table Rock-Steinauer wins this week. Southwest (4-3, 41.857) clinches with a win over Sumner-Eddyville-Miller on Thursday.
Crawford (5-2, 40.429) vs. Hay Springs (4-3, 40.143) on Thursday decides a lot. A Crawford win clinches its spot. A Hay Springs win clinches Hay Springs a spot if Humboldt-Table Rock-Steinauer beats Diller-Odell or Dorchester beats Mead. Meridian (4-3, 40.571) visits Pawnee City and can't clinch on its own result.
The four-way tie
Grand Island Lutheran hosts Red Cloud (6-1) on Thursday, and a win gets it to 39.500 to 40.250. Sterling visits Lewiston (6-1), and a win gets it to 39.500 to 40.625, the best case of the four. Mead hosts Dorchester and could reach 39.125 to 40.250. High Plains Community hosts Harvard. A win gets it to 38.750 to 39.500, and a loss knocks it out if Santee beats Elba or Silver Lake beats Giltner.
Out with a loss
Silver Lake (3-4, 39.000) vs. Giltner, Potter-Dix (3-4, 38.571) vs. Banner County, Parkview Christian (4-3, 38.000) at unbeaten McCool Junction on Thursday and Cody-Kilgore (3-4, 37.714) vs. winless Sioux County are all out with a loss. Sumner-Eddyville-Miller (3-4, 39.000) is out with a loss at Southwest if Stuart beats Ansley-Litchfield or Arthur County wins.
How the math works
D6 uses its own divisions: above 76% is Division 1, 51% or higher is Division 2 and 26% or higher is Division 3. Wins are worth 50, 47, 44 or 41, and losses are worth 36, 33, 30 or 27. Take Crawford: 40.429 over seven games is 283 points. Beat Hay Springs and Hay Springs is 4-4 (50%, Division 3), so the win is worth 44, and 327 divided by 8 is 40.875. Lose and Hay Springs is 5-3 (63%, Division 2), so the loss is worth 33, and 316 divided by 8 is 39.500.
The projected bracket is in the Class D6 playoff outlook.
Sources
Arthur County team center → · Southwest team center → · Meridian team center → · Crawford team center → · Hay Springs team center → · Grand Island Lutheran team center → · High Plains Community team center → · Mead team center → · Sterling team center → · Silver Lake team center → · Sumner-Eddyville-Miller team center → · Potter-Dix team center → · Parkview Christian team center → · Cody-Kilgore team center →
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