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Class C2 bubble watch: Brownell Talbot and West Point-Beemer are tied for the last spot
The Class C2 wild-card line, the teams chasing it and the eight more teams that are already out.
Class C2's last wild card is a coin flip on paper. Omaha Brownell Talbot and West Point-Beemer are tied at 38.750 for the 10th and final spot, and Lincoln Lutheran is 0.125 behind them. Six teams in all are within 1.8 points of the line, and most of the teams below it are already done.
C2 takes six district champions and 10 wild cards.
Data as of 7:59 a.m. CT Wednesday, Oct. 21, from NSAA's wildcard page. Points haven't changed since the Oct. 19 update. Ranges below run every Week 9 result through NSAA's point formula. They're NEB Preps projections, not official.
Class C2 bubble board
NSAA points · 7:59 a.m. CT Wednesday, Oct. 21 (NSAA wildcard page; points unchanged since the Oct. 19 9:04 a.m. update). Projection—not official seeds.
Current last at-large average: 38.750 · West Point-Beemer. Dashed marks compare current averages, not guaranteed qualification. District berths and tiebreakers still apply.
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Open a school for its remaining game and reviewed scenario. Each what-if fixes only one game; all other results can vary. Ranges are not rankings or clinch probabilities. Ties remain ties.
Scotus Central Catholic5-3 · Bubble40.500 ptsClinches with a win over North Bend Central.
2026-10-23 · vs. North Bend Central (2-6). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 40.556–41.556. With a loss: 39.333–40.333.
Fillmore Central6-2 · Bubble40.000 ptsClinches with a win over Malcolm.
2026-10-23 · at Malcolm (6-2). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 40.778–42.111. With a loss: 39.556–40.889.
Wilber-Clatonia5-3 · Bubble39.250 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 39.7778-40.4444 with a win.
2026-10-23 · at Doniphan-Trumbull (2-6). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 39.778–40.444. With a loss: 38.556–39.222.
Hershey5-3 · Bubble39.000 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 39.8889-40.2222 with a win.
2026-10-23 · at Bridgeport (3-5). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 39.889–40.222. With a loss: 38.333–38.667.
Omaha Brownell Talbot4-4 · Bubble38.750 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 39.6667-40.0000 with a win.
2026-10-23 · vs. Bishop Neumann (6-2). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 39.667–40.000. With a loss: 38.444–38.778.
West Point-Beemer5-3 · Bubble38.750 ptsClinches with a win if North Bend Central beats Scotus Central Catholic.
2026-10-22 · at Boone Central (8-0). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 40.000–41.333. With a loss: 38.444–39.778.
Lincoln Lutheran4-4 · Bubble38.625 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 39.5556-39.8889 with a win.
2026-10-23 · at H&H (1-7). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 39.556–39.889. With a loss: 38.000–38.333.
Norfolk Catholic3-5 · Bubble37.750 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 38.4444-39.4444 with a win.
2026-10-23 · vs. Plainview/Osmond (4-4). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 38.444–39.444. With a loss: 37.222–38.222.
St. Paul3-5 · Out36.750 ptsEliminated. Cannot reach the last spot in any Week 9 outcome.
2026-10-23 · at Wood River (0-8). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 37.222–37.889. With a loss: 35.667–36.333.
Qualification evidence: Out in every Week 9 outcome by a district-champion count (pigeonhole) check: at most one title contender per district can take an automatic bid, so enough non-champions are guaranteed to finish above this team's best possible average.
Plainview/Osmond4-4 · Bubble36.625 ptsA win alone doesn't lock up a spot; it would finish at 37.4444-38.7778 with a win.
2026-10-23 · at Norfolk Catholic (3-5). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 37.444–38.778. With a loss: 35.889–37.222.
Chase County2-6 · Out36.125 ptsEliminated. Cannot reach the last spot in any Week 9 outcome.
2026-10-23 · vs. Valentine (2-6). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 37.000–37.333. With a loss: 35.778–36.111.
Qualification evidence: Out in every Week 9 outcome by a district-champion count (pigeonhole) check: at most one title contender per district can take an automatic bid, so enough non-champions are guaranteed to finish above this team's best possible average.
Battle Creek2-6 · Out35.375 pts
Eliminated. Cannot reach the last spot in any Week 9 outcome.
2026-10-23 · vs. Summerland (1-7). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 36.000–37.000. With a loss: 34.444–35.444.
Qualification evidence: Out in every Week 9 outcome by a district-champion count (pigeonhole) check: at most one title contender per district can take an automatic bid, so enough non-champions are guaranteed to finish above this team's best possible average.
Doniphan-Trumbull2-6 · Out35.250 ptsEliminated. Cannot reach the last spot in any Week 9 outcome.
2026-10-23 · vs. Wilber-Clatonia (5-3). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 36.889–37.889. With a loss: 35.333–36.333.
Qualification evidence: Out in every Week 9 outcome by a district-champion count (pigeonhole) check: at most one title contender per district can take an automatic bid, so enough non-champions are guaranteed to finish above this team's best possible average.
Logan View2-6 · Out35.250 ptsEliminated. Cannot reach the last spot in any Week 9 outcome.
2026-10-23 · vs. Schuyler (0-8). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 35.889–36.889. With a loss: 34.333–35.333.
Qualification evidence: Out in every Week 9 outcome by a district-champion count (pigeonhole) check: at most one title contender per district can take an automatic bid, so enough non-champions are guaranteed to finish above this team's best possible average.
Valentine2-6 · Out35.250 ptsEliminated. Cannot reach the last spot in any Week 9 outcome.
2026-10-23 · at Chase County (2-6). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 35.889–36.889. With a loss: 34.667–35.667.
Qualification evidence: Out in every Week 9 outcome by a district-champion count (pigeonhole) check: at most one title contender per district can take an automatic bid, so enough non-champions are guaranteed to finish above this team's best possible average.
Bridgeport3-5 · Out35.000 ptsEliminated. Cannot reach the last spot in any Week 9 outcome.
2026-10-23 · vs. Hershey (5-3). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 36.667–37.333. With a loss: 35.111–35.778.
Qualification evidence: Out in every Week 9 outcome by a district-champion count (pigeonhole) check: at most one title contender per district can take an automatic bid, so enough non-champions are guaranteed to finish above this team's best possible average.
North Bend Central2-6 · Out35.000 ptsEliminated. Cannot reach the last spot in any Week 9 outcome.
2026-10-23 · at Scotus Central Catholic (5-3). Kickoff not confirmed in this snapshot.
Final-average range with a win: 36.333–37.000. With a loss: 34.778–35.444.
Qualification evidence: Out in every Week 9 outcome by a district-champion count (pigeonhole) check: at most one title contender per district can take an automatic bid, so enough non-champions are guaranteed to finish above this team's best possible average.
View the three-column points table
| Team | Record | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Scotus Central Catholic | 5-3 | 40.500 |
| Fillmore Central | 6-2 | 40.000 |
| Wilber-Clatonia | 5-3 | 39.250 |
| Hershey | 5-3 | 39.000 |
| Omaha Brownell Talbot | 4-4 | 38.750 |
| West Point-Beemer | 5-3 | 38.750 |
| Lincoln Lutheran | 4-4 | 38.625 |
| Norfolk Catholic | 3-5 | 37.750 |
| St. Paul | 3-5 | 36.750 |
| Plainview/Osmond | 4-4 | 36.625 |
| Chase County | 2-6 | 36.125 |
| Battle Creek | 2-6 | 35.375 |
| Doniphan-Trumbull | 2-6 | 35.250 |
| Logan View | 2-6 | 35.250 |
| Valentine | 2-6 | 35.250 |
| Bridgeport | 3-5 | 35.000 |
| North Bend Central | 2-6 | 35.000 |
Win and you're in
Scotus Central Catholic (5-3, 40.500) clinches with a win over North Bend Central. Fillmore Central (6-2, 40.000) clinches with a win at Malcolm (6-2, 41.250), and that win also takes the C2-2 title.
Inside, but not safe
Wilber-Clatonia (5-3, 39.250) at Doniphan-Trumbull, Hershey (5-3, 39.000) at Bridgeport and Brownell Talbot (4-4, 38.750) vs. Bishop Neumann (6-2) all need a win, and none of them clinches with one. Their best cases with a win are 40.444, 40.222 and 40.000. With a loss, they drop to 38.556 to 39.222 (Wilber-Clatonia), 38.333 to 38.667 (Hershey) and 38.444 to 38.778 (Brownell Talbot).
West Point-Beemer (5-3, 38.750) has the most interesting path. It visits unbeaten Boone Central on Thursday. A win gets it to 40.000 to 41.333. It clinches with that win if North Bend Central also upsets Scotus on Friday, because that combination hands West Point-Beemer the C2-3 title.
Just outside
Lincoln Lutheran (4-4, 38.625) visits H&H (1-7). A win gets it to 39.556 to 39.889, which would pass Wilber-Clatonia, Hershey or Brownell Talbot if they lose. Norfolk Catholic (3-5, 37.750) hosts Plainview/Osmond (4-4, 36.625), and both are still alive. Norfolk Catholic could reach 39.444 and Plainview/Osmond 38.778.
Already out
Eight more teams are out in every Week 9 outcome: St. Paul, Chase County, Battle Creek, Doniphan-Trumbull, Logan View, Valentine, Bridgeport and North Bend Central. Each district has only one champion, so enough of the title contenders above each team are guaranteed to finish as non-champions above its best possible average. They join H&H, Palmyra, Wood River, Schuyler, Summerland and Louisville.
Those eight can still play spoiler, though. Doniphan-Trumbull hosts Wilber-Clatonia, Bridgeport hosts Hershey and North Bend Central visits Scotus.
How the math works
A win is worth 50, 47, 44 or 41 points depending on the opponent's division, and a loss is worth 36, 33, 30 or 27. Take Scotus: 40.500 over eight games is 324 points. Beat North Bend Central and North Bend Central is 2-7 (Division 4), so the win is worth 41, and 365 divided by 9 is 40.556. Lose and North Bend Central is 3-6 (33%, Division 3), so the loss is worth 30, and 354 divided by 9 is 39.333.
District races and the projected bracket are in the Class C2 playoff outlook.
Sources
Scotus Central Catholic team center → · Fillmore Central team center → · Wilber-Clatonia team center → · Hershey team center → · Omaha Brownell Talbot team center → · West Point-Beemer team center → · Lincoln Lutheran team center → · Norfolk Catholic team center → · Plainview/Osmond team center →
Nebraska football scores and schedules → · Football playoff tracker →