NEBPrepsLive
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Built from each team's Power Index (record, scoring margin, strength of schedule — see Standings for the full breakdown). Early in the season, a team's 2025 Power Index is blended in as a prior so one or two 2026 games can't swing a rating on their own; that fades out entirely by a team's 4th game this year. The gap between two teams' Power Index scores is converted to a win probability the same way Elo ratings are, with a small fixed bonus for the home team. Not betting advice — high school football has real upsets, and a prediction is only as good as the games played so far.